Argentina vs Algeria: Defending Champion Flops? My prediction is only two words: Don't rush!

This Wednesday morning at 9 a.m., defending champion Argentina will face the African powerhouse Algeria.
Many fans, upon seeing this matchup, their first reaction is:
It's in the bag!
But World Cup history tells us, the more stable a game looks, the easier it is to make blood pressure rise.
Algeria, as Africa's top dark horse, is most notable for "not playing by the script."
And Argentina?
Their biggest trait is:
There’s always someone stepping up at critical moments.
My win probability forecast:
Argentina wins: 68%
Draw: 21%
Algeria pulls off an upset: 11%
In terms of overall strength, experience, and creativity in the midfield and attack, Argentina still holds a clear advantage.
However, Algeria’s counterattack speed and physical confrontation can definitely give the defending champion a run for their money.
Predicted score:
2-0, 2-1.
One sentence summary:
Dark horses are quick, but the champion is more stable.
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