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$SIREN $SIREN Many people are confused about the numerous shorts in the market; why don't the big players push the price up to trigger a short squeeze? The core logic is simple: the big players themselves are long-term large-scale shorts. Spot holdings combined with contract long and short positions create a two-way holding, and a violent rally would directly cause huge losses for themselves. The market's real large opposing funds are retail traders around 0.05 who are bottom-fishing longs, and harvesting profits from these longs yields far more than liquidating scattered short-term shorts. Massive trapped sell pressure accumulates from 0.0575 to 0.064 above, with no channel for upward movement to offload, and the extremely high borrowing rate of 93.7% can trigger new shorts at any time. The sideways consolidation continues to earn long fee rates, waiting for the longs to reach a certain scale before concentrating selling pressure. This is the operation that maximizes the big players' profits; pushing the price up to trigger a short squeeze completely does not align with their own interests.
The true bottom requires multiple indicators to resonate: funding rates continuously turning negative, significant shrinkage in contract positions, a sharp decline in spot lending annualized yields, volume breaking above the 0.0533 average price, and mass liquidations of shorts.
Currently, the brief stop at the line is just a pause in the decline; funding rates, positions, and lending data all signal bearishness.
It's only a rebound buffer during the downtrend, and there is still ample downside space before the real bottom.
Do not blindly chase the bottom by stepping on the line.