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Everyone is bullish on ETH right now—I see a 95% chance of a trap below 1780.
$ETH /USDT - SHORT
Trade Plan:
Entry: 1778.01 – 1785.89
SL: 1819.73
TP1: 1753.61
TP2: 1734.72
TP3: 1706.38
Why this setup?
Why now? The 4h MTF screams SHORT with 95% confidence, and the 1D trend is bearish. RSI on 15m is 58.98—not oversold, so room to drop. ATR of 15.74 on 1h means volatility is tight, but TP1 at 1753.61 is only 1.6% away. The setup is waiting, and the alt scenario is a fakeout above 1785.89—so either way, the bias is down.
Debate:
Are you shorting the 1781.95 retest or waiting for a break below 1778 to confirm?