Looking at Iran's draw profit from my trading system

I earned about $14 on this Iran match, although the amount isn't large, the entire process strictly followed my trading system. Today I want to share this system, hoping it will be helpful to everyone.

My trading system has three core elements: probability assessment, position management, and stop-loss discipline. The first step is to independently evaluate the true probabilities of each outcome before the match, without being influenced by market sentiment. For this Iran game, I believed the true probability of a draw was 35%, while the market only priced it at 29%, creating a 6 percentage point difference. The second step is to determine the position size based on the size of the price difference. The larger the difference, the bigger the position, but no single trade exceeds 10% of the total capital. For this match, I bet about $30, accounting for roughly 10% of my total funds at the time, just meeting the standard. The third step is to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. I set a stop-loss if the price drops below 25 cents, and take profits in stages if it rises above 90 cents. In the end, I sold at 99 cents, executing perfectly.

This system isn't foolproof, but sticking to it long-term will definitely result in a higher win rate than random guessing. I recommend everyone also develop their own trading system, even if it's very simple, as it's much better than trading based on feelings.

#广场预测世界杯赢40000U