ETH#我的Gate交易时刻 Core Market Qualitative Analysis (One Sentence Conclusion)

· Capital Flow: Single-day net inflow +433 million USD (epic level), total holdings 4.17B, main force is aggressively accumulating regardless of cost.
· Sentiment: Rate shifts from negative to positive at 0.0018%, shorts are being liquidated in a chain, retail traders who missed out are starting to FOMO chasing longs.
· Technical Summary: Daily MACD turns from red to green (green bar 47.77), price has broken through the daily fast line at 1748.14, currently attacking the daily slow line at 1837.82 in a crushing manner.
Conclusion: Bullish main upward wave, no medium- to long-term short, only long positions; short-term shorts can only be placed with minimal positions on the high-pressure right side to bet on a pullback.

---

2. Key Support/Resistance Radar (Only retain the core three levels)

Type Area Specific Location Function
Bullish Ironclad Lifeline (Strong Support) 1748 – 1750 Daily fast line + 4H fast line resonance zone, golden dip for swing, structure shaken if broken
Micro Golden Ambush Bottom (Short-term Support) 1774 Near 1-hour slow line, area for adding longs after short-term dip
Short-term Short Squeeze and Harvest Zone (Heavy Pressure/Shorting Sniper Point) 1837 – 1848 Daily slow line (1837.82) + previous high extreme (1848.78), the only short-term shorting sniper zone

---

3. Long Position Plan (Follow the trend, attack heavily on dips)

Cycle Order Entry Zone Execution Logic Stop Loss Take Profit
Short-term 1774 – 1782 (current price 1791, do not chase) 1-hour J-value -6.20 oversold, buy on dip when retracing to 1H slow line at 1774 with reduced volume 1765 below 1810 – 1825
Mid-term Wave 1745 – 1755 After daily breakout and retest of neckline + 4H fast line at 1750, during violent shakeout golden dip 1715 below (break 4H slow line to admit defeat) 1835 – 1850 (daily slow line ceiling)
Long-term Previous bottom spot (already holding position) Physically silent, weekly big change has started None (hold existing position) Wait for weekly MACD to turn fully green

---

4. Short Position Plan (Countertrend top hunting, very small positions, only short-term)

Cycle Entry Range Execution Conditions (both must be met) Stop Loss Take Profit
Short-term 1835 – 1845 Price hits daily slow line due to FOMO 1837.82 and daily J-value reaches 97.30, indicating severe overbought, with minimal position betting on a pullback Above 1855 (if volume breaks through 1848.78, exit immediately) 1790 – 1780 (quick in and out)

Important (Discipline of Cold Blood)

· Medium- to long-term short: Cancelled across the network! Daily green bars rising, weekly bottoming and rebounding stage, any medium- to long-term short is countertrend and suicidal. The main short force must wait for monthly resistance confirmation; currently, heavy positions are strictly prohibited against the trend.

---

5. Risk Control Red Line (Mechanical execution)

· Max single loss: 2%
· Current price 1791, do not chase longs, only place orders waiting for a pullback.
· Prohibit guessing the top below 1800 for shorts, the only short entry is at 1835-1845 with extremely small positions.