From $59,129 to $66,280, will Bitcoin's next stop be $80k or a retest of the bottom?

The market always swings between two voices.
The bearish believe:
The rebound has ended.
The bullish believe:
$100k is only a matter of time.
And the answer is very likely in the middle.
Current market structure
Support level:
$65,000.
Strong support:
$63,000.
Extreme support:
$60,000.
Resistance level:
$68,000.
Strong resistance:
$70,000.
Breakout target:
$75,000.
Long-term target:
$85,000.
Future three-month trend forecast
First stage
Break through $68,000.
Probability 65%.
Second stage
Hold steady above $70,000.
Probability 55%.
Third stage
Challenge $80,000.
Probability 40%.
Fall below $60,000 again
Probability less than 15%.
My trading strategy
Dollar-cost averaging
Continue buying weekly.
Ignore short-term fluctuations.
Swing trading
Position around $65,000.
Reduce positions above $70,000.
Continue to buy on dips.
Long-term holding
Hold for 6-12 months.
Target $85,000.
Even aim for $100k.
If $59,087 is like a storm,
then $66,280 is just clear skies after rain.
What truly determines the future direction is not how much this rebound has risen,
but whether $70,000 can be firmly stepped on.
Once the breakout succeeds,
$75,000 and even $80,000 may just be a matter of time.
From a risk-reward perspective, the market is still in the “mid-stage recovery of a bull market,” not at the cycle top. #我的Gate交易时刻