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June 16th Strategy Plan Simplified Version
Detailed Operation Plan:
1) Main idea: First observe the 1782–1808 zone contest
1790 vicinity is not a comfortable point for chasing orders, prone to up and down sweeping.
1782–1785 without breaking, prioritize oversold rebounds.
If 1808–1812 cannot hold steady, prioritize shorting on rebounds.
Before breaking the previous high at 1849, do not chase high longs.
2) Low Long Plan: Buy on pullback to support
Entry zone: 1782–1788
Better entry: 1782–1784 with a stop in case of decline, and close above 1788 on the 15-minute chart
Stop loss: below 1774, aggressive at 1778
Take profit 1: 1804–1810
Take profit 2: 1822–1828
Take profit 3: 1835–1845
Logic: 15-minute chart is oversold, near the pivot point 1783.97, suitable for rebounds, not for blindly bottom-fishing.
Invalidation: 15-minute body closes below 1780, cancel long positions on rebounds.
3) High Short Plan: Short on rebound resistance
Entry zone 1: 1808–1815
Entry zone 2: 1828–1835
Extreme short zone: 1846–1852
Stop loss: above the resistance zone by 6–10 USD; if short around 1848, place stop above 1858
Take profit 1: 1792–1785
Take profit 2: 1775–1768
Take profit 3: 1755–1748
Logic: Early session high at 1848.99 quickly retraced after a spike; 1808/1828/1848 are observation zones for selling pressure.
Invalidation: 15-minute volume-supported steady above 1835, reduce shorts; 1-hour chart steady above 1852, invalidating the bearish structure.
4) Breakout Chase Long Plan: Confirm only, no early guesses
Trigger: 15-minute volume-supported steady above 1815
Pullback entry: 1808–1812, do not break, then go long
Stop loss: below 1800
Targets: 1828, 1845, 1849
If 1-hour closes above 1852, can look at 1875–1888, but this is a subsequent move, not the current main strategy.
5) Break-down Chase Short Plan: Only after confirmation
Trigger: 15-minute body closes below 1780 and rebounds to 1782–1786 but cannot hold
Entry: Short after breakdown below 1780 and rebound
Stop loss: above 1792
Targets: 1768, 1755, 1748, 1732
Logic: 1782 is the current bullish defense line; if broken, it will trigger stop-losses $ETH on longs.