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Since last week, I was fully invested in HANA and nearly got liquidated at a loss, but today I woke up to a 24.36% rebound.
First, a quick background: my maximum drawdown was 62%, I bought in at 0.028, and it dropped all the way to 0.018, then added positions to average down to 0.03, with an unrealized loss of nearly 50%. Today it surged to 0.0396, finally recovering my principal and making a six-figure profit.
But don’t get too excited just yet. Looking at the data: the 24-hour trading volume is only 6.8 million, with a peak at 0.04, which is exactly a psychological round number. This kind of low-volume rally is a classic sign of old strength fading and new strength not yet emerging. The main players are very smart, releasing a 24.36% increase to create FOMO, waiting for retail investors to rush in and push the price above 0.04.
My current plan is: if the price effectively breaks above 0.041 within the first 30 minutes of trading and the volume exceeds 3 million in an hour, I will add to my position up to 30% for short-term trading, with a stop loss at 0.035. If it continues to oscillate and consolidate between 0.038 and 0.04 with low volume, that indicates this is a trap to lure buyers, and I will exit 85% when it stalls at 0.039, leaving 15% to gamble on a breakout to the upside.
I’ve set two stop-loss levels: a defensive stop at 0.035, with an immediate full exit if broken; and an aggressive stop at 0.032, because breaking that indicates the main players are offloading, so don’t follow.
A little tip: this rally’s height is 27% of the previous day’s low at 0.0314. From a technical perspective, there’s serious resistance around 0.04, so I suggest not exceeding 20% of your total position.
Honestly, the biggest mistake retail investors make is chasing after rebounds and dips, only to see the price dump right at the top. I’ve been burned by this before—only doing low buy-ins on dips, and not greedy until 0.045. If this logic resonates with you, follow me on the right side, and let’s watch the market together.