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🏦 Japan is preparing for an important step
Tomorrow, the Bank of Japan may raise the interest rate to 1% for the first time since 1995. Economists believe the probability of this event exceeds 90%, and on Polymarket, it is estimated at over 99%.
🇯🇵 Japan has long been a source of cheap money for carry trades, which were used in stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other risky assets. Now, money is becoming more expensive, and some capital may return to the yen
🩸 Impact on the S&P 500:
➖ March 2024: -3.79%
➖ July 2024: -7.02%
➖ January 2025: -20.98%
➖ December 2025: -7.07%
Previously, such declines were quickly offset by Fed support. Now, there is no cheap money in Asia or the US, oil is expensive, and the Fed is unlikely to intervene
💬 For cryptocurrencies, this could mean increased volatility and pressure on BTC and altcoins. Tomorrow’s crash is not guaranteed, as markets are already prepared for it and are in the green zone thanks to positive sentiment from Trump’s peaceful agreement. The main thing is that Donald’s plans succeed...
$SOL $AAVE $LTC