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Spain vs Cape Verde: Model Calculation
In the last 10 matches, Spain averages 68% ball possession, 17 shots, but only a 12% conversion rate.
Cape Verde tends to sit back against strong teams, allowing an average of 22 shots per game, but most goals come from set pieces.
· Predicted score: 2:0
· Trading strategy: Buy "Spain -1.5 Asian Handicap" (odds of 1.85 on Polymarket), and also buy "Over 9.5 corners" (Spain's aggressive attack, corner rush).
· Risk hedging: Add a "No red card" option, with a probability over 95%, for stable returns.
Data doesn't lie; follow the expected shots. #预测世界杯西班牙VS佛得角