Analysis, Bitcoin traders should pay attention to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, as short positions on the yen reach a nine-year high

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Mars Finance reports, citing CoinDesk, that Bitcoin traders this week should pay attention to the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision on Tuesday. As of the week ending June 9, leveraged funds’ speculative short positions in Japanese yen have risen to more than 115,000 contracts, the highest level since November 2017. If the Bank of Japan raises rates to 1% as expected and signals further tightening, these shorts could be closed out, triggering a rise in the yen and affecting yen funding carry trades. Carry trade investors borrow yen to invest in high-yield, high-risk assets, which has driven bull markets on Wall Street and in the bond market for years, and is also believed to support the crypto market. After the Bank of Japan raised rates in July 2024, rapid short covering in the yen sparked a sharp yen rally, leading to extreme volatility across Wall Street, the Nikkei index, and the crypto market, with Bitcoin falling from about $65,000 to $50,000 within a week. If, after this rate hike, Governor Ueda Kazuo signals faster tightening or that rates could rise above 1%, the yen would strengthen significantly, causing turmoil in the financial markets. Crypto assets are most sensitive to sudden changes in liquidity and could face the most severe shocks.
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