Most traders think TON is bottoming—here’s why the data says otherwise.



$TON /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.7852 – 1.7970
SL: 1.8481
TP1: 1.7483
TP2: 1.7198
TP3: 1.6770

Why this setup?
4H timeframe confirms SHORT bias with 55% confidence. RSI on 15m sits at 66.38, creeping into overbought territory within a daily range trend. Entry zone is tight: 1.7852–1.7970. ATR on 1H is 0.0238—enough room for a 2–3% drop to TP1 at 1.7483 before any real resistance. Why now? The range top is rejecting momentum, and we’re waiting for a confirmed invalidation below 1.7431 to flip bullish.

Debate:
Is the 4H range finally breaking down, or is this a fakeout before a squeeze to 1.86?
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