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I'm that idiot who lost 30k by heavily holding ADA at 0.31. I just managed to pick up my order back, and now I see 0.1812, I actually feel a bit nervous.
First, the data: in 24 hours, it rose 4.98%, with a volume of 220M, but the highest was 0.1869, which was hammered down hard. This wave is a volume contraction rebound, not a real breakout.
My system tells me that the low point at 0.1652 is an anchor left by the main force's shakeout; if the price retraces and doesn't break 0.17, it means retail investors have been shaken out.
Operation plan: don't chase, wait for a pullback to the 0.172-0.175 range, place a light order with 0.5x leverage. Set stop loss at 0.163, admit defeat if it breaks below. Take profit at 0.195, only add positions if volume exceeds 300M.
Position size should not exceed 10% of total funds because I haven't recovered my cost yet; over-leveraging is suicidal.
I've reviewed, ADA has been sideways at this level for three months; every time it volume-breaks above 0.186, it’s a fake move, but this time is different—there are clear signs of accumulation by the big players.
If you don’t believe it, compare the data from the last rebound at 0.16.
If you have the guts, leave a comment to call me out: Did you also buy ADA above 0.3? Follow me, and next time I cut my losses, I’ll call you to run.