Yang Guang bit | June 15 $SOL Precise Strategy, Full Trend Control

Core Conclusion
SOL, following the overall market, was driven by expectations of the US-Iran agreement to experience an oversold rebound, with a short-term surge approaching $71.6 near the strong resistance zone. This round of rebound is purely emotion-driven recovery, and has not reversed the larger downward trend. The trapped sell pressure above is concentrated, and as positive factors are gradually priced in and momentum diminishes, a pullback and correction are highly likely after the surge. In terms of operation, focus on short positions during the rebound.
Today's Strategy
Entry Timing
Gradually build short positions in the $71.8-$72.5 range, add to positions near $73.0 if the price surges.
Stop Loss Setting
Set a unified stop loss above $73.8 (maximum stop loss approximately $1.3, risk controllable).
Tiered Take Profit
First target: $70-$70.5
Second target: $68.5-$69
Third target: $67-$67.5
Market Logic Breakdown
News Aspect
Expectations for the implementation of the US-Iran memorandum continue to ferment, geopolitical risk cooling has boosted the overall market risk appetite, and SOL, as a highly elastic token, has experienced a pulse-like rebound following the market. However, the current positive factors have been gradually priced in by the market, and without further catalysts for sustained upward movement, after the sentiment recedes, profit-taking is very likely to occur.
Fundamentals
This rebound was mainly driven by short covering and passive lifting, not by large influxes of new funds. Spot buying strength continues to weaken, and the foundation for the rise is unstable.
On-chain data shows that the frequency of large whale addresses transferring chips above $70 to exchanges has significantly increased, indicating strong willingness to cash out at highs, gradually releasing upward selling pressure.
In the futures market, long positions have rapidly increased to over 65%, and retail traders chasing the high are overly enthusiastic. Subsequent concentrated liquidations of longs will accelerate the price decline. $SOL ‌#我的Gate交易时刻