June 15, 2026 ETH Contract Strategy (Current Price ~1,715 USDT)

Core tone: Daily chart shows a major bearish trend, short-term linkage with BTC weak rebound; insufficient volume, mainly shorting on rebounds, key support with light positions for testing longs.
1. Trend Structure (D1)

• Moving Averages: Price below 200MA (~2,400), medium-term bearish; short-term stabilizes above 50MA (1,673), short-term bullish with medium-term bearish.

• Pattern: Fell from April high, approximately 24% decline this month; currently consolidating in the 1,650–1,700 range, weak rebound continues.

• RSI(14): ≈46.5, neutral, exits oversold but not strong.

• MACD: Below zero line, green bars converging, bearish weakening, no golden cross, rebound not a reversal.

• Volume: 24-hour volume mildly increasing but not significantly, rebound sustainability doubtful.

2. Key Support/Resistance (Short-term core)

Resistance (Shorting zone)

• R1: 1,730–1,750 (Intraday strong resistance, short-term trapped positions)

• R2: 1,780–1,800 (Rebound watershed, liquidity dense)

• R3: 1,830 (Fibonacci 38.2%, strong resistance)

Support (Longing zone)

• S1: 1,680–1,690 (Intraday key support, pivot point)

• S2: 1,650–1,660 (Yesterday’s low, critical for rebound)

• S3: 1,600–1,620 (Strong support, bottom of this decline)

3. 4H Trading Strategy (Can be executed directly)

1) Short positions (main strategy, trend-following)

• Entry: 1,730–1,750 with resistance, bearish candle/long upper shadow

• Stop-loss: above 1,760 (above R2)

• Take profit: 1,690 → 1,650 (partial exits)

• Position size: ≤20% (before FOMC meeting)

2) Long positions (secondary, rebound)

• Entry: 1,650–1,660 with stabilization, bullish candle/long lower shadow

• Stop-loss: below 1,640 (below S2)

• Take profit: 1,710 → 1,740 (exit on resistance)

• Position size: ≤10% (weak rebound, light positions)

3) Wait-and-see (neutral zone)

• Range: 1,690–1,730, oscillating, no strong breakout, avoid heavy positions.

4. Risk Control and Macro Rules

• Position size: Before the June 16 FOMC meeting, single trade ≤20%, total position ≤30%.

• Breakout rules:

◦ Volume breakout above 1,750 → stop short positions, wait or lightly long.

◦ Volume breakdown below 1,650 → stop long positions, follow trend to short.

• Macro: ETH ETF capital flows fluctuate, rebound height limited, strictly avoid chasing longs.

5. Today’s One Sentence Summary

Short 1,730–1,750, long 1,650–1,660, watch for oscillation; do not look for longs if above 1,760, do not expect deep drops #我的Gate交易时刻 if below 1,640.