Yang Guang bit | June 15 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control

Core Conclusion
BTC is driven by expectations of the US-Iran agreement to complete a short squeeze rebound; in the short term, it is approaching a strong resistance zone, with bullish volume gradually diminishing, and will enter a phase of sharp rise and fall today. This rebound does not change the large-scale downtrend; the current price level is an excellent position for bears to set up, with a small stop loss to profit from the wave decline; after profit realization, a quick second bottom will be initiated.
Today’s Strategy
Entry Timing
Gradually build short positions in the 65600-65900 range, add positions near 66100 if it rises
Stop Loss Setting
Set a unified stop loss above 66500
Tiered Take Profit
First target: 64800-65000
Second target: 64000-64200
Third target: 63200-63500
Market Logic Breakdown
News (Authoritative sources: Iran Mehr News Agency, Jinshi Data, as of June 15 08:00)
The US-Iran understanding memorandum has entered the final implementation stage; key clauses such as the Strait of Hormuz opening and asset thawing are basically finalized. The market’s “buy the rumor” sentiment has entered the end phase. After the positive news is realized, profit-taking on the “sell the fact” trend is highly likely.
Israel’s official stance on the agreement remains undecided; Prime Minister Netanyahu’s opposition is the biggest potential variable. There may still be fluctuations before the agreement is finalized, but short-term sentiment has been fully priced in, and the momentum for further upward movement is limited.
Capital Market
Spot ETF funds continue to shrink, with clear signs of institutions reducing holdings during rebounds, with no new funds entering to reverse the trend; rebound height is limited.
On-chain data shows that whale addresses above 65,000 are significantly increasing the frequency of transferring chips to exchanges, with high-pressure selling concentrated at highs, and strong selling pressure around 66,000, making effective突破 difficult.
In the futures market, long positions have risen to 63%, retail traders chasing highs are overly enthusiastic, and the short-term short squeeze trend is nearing its end. Subsequent long liquidation will drive prices down rapidly.
🚀 The market will never disappoint those who are prepared; what you lack is never the trend itself, but a clear mindset to precisely identify turning points $BTC ‌#美国5月CPI创三年新高