#广场预测世界杯赢40000U

Soccer is round: Little Fortune's crushing defeat followed by a new start—Little Fortune's World Cup betting diary 🔥

As the saying goes: "Don't get carried away in victory," and sure enough, Little Fortune just boasted yesterday, only to be slapped in the face today, with 3 out of 4 matches ending in failure, only correctly predicting Scotland's win over Haiti, while Brazil drew with Morocco, and Australia beat Turkey, which further proves that "occasionally betting on a draw, driving a Bugatti," "betting on strong teams, taking a walk on the roof." Little Fortune now stands on the rooftop, running his hand through his windblown hair, gritting his teeth and deciding to fight another day. To improve prediction quality, Little Fortune has decided to predict only one match per article from now on. Of course, this is just personal speculation and not investment advice, everyone can just have fun. The most anticipated match tomorrow is between the Netherlands and Japan. Little Fortune believes it is very likely to end in a draw for the following reasons:

1. Resilience sample from historical encounters

The last time the two teams met (a 2013 friendly match) showed a typical comeback script: the Netherlands led 2-0, but Japan, with goals from Yuya Osako and Keisuke Honda, fought back stubbornly to equalize. This proves that Japan has the mental toughness to hold on against European powerhouses when behind.

2. Japan's tactical resilience

‌Defensive system upgrade‌: In the last 6 warm-up matches, Japan kept a clean sheet 5 times (including against England and Scotland), controlling 55% of possession against Iceland and only allowing 2 shots on target, demonstrating maturity in high pressing and defensive coordination.

‌Counterattack deterrence‌: The 2022 World Cup victories over Germany and Spain have verified their ability to "use speed to counter the strong," with a quick transition system led by Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, specifically targeting gaps behind the Dutch high defensive line.

3. Hidden issues in the Netherlands' attacking efficiency

‌Lack of finishing ability‌: In warm-up matches against Algeria, 17 shots with 6 on target resulted in 0 goals; Malen missed several great chances in a row; against Uzbekistan, they only narrowly won with two penalties by Gakpo.

‌Uncertain core player form‌: Depay, after injury recovery, has not yet returned to his best, and Van Dijk's decreased mobility might be targeted by Japan's quick and agile forwards.

4. Strategic game theory

‌Netherlands' conservative tendency‌: Since the 2006 World Cup, the Netherlands has never lost in regular time in official matches (6 wins, 8 draws), and Koeman is likely to continue a cautious defensive counterattack strategy to avoid a disastrous first game.

‌Japan's points-collecting strategy‌: Facing two direct competitors in the group, Sweden and Tunisia, Japan needs to ensure this match is not lost, and will probably adopt a 5-4-1 formation to compress the Dutch attack space.