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Don't be fooled by the five-star team badge! The real danger might be Morocco; Brazil isn't necessarily stable.
If the World Cup had a "Giant Killer Ranking."
Morocco would definitely qualify for the top three.
They don't fear possession.
They don't fear ugly play.
They even like others to dominate them.
Because the more they are pressed, the happier they are.
This team is like the wandering monk in martial arts novels.
Low profile in normal times.
Specially teaching experts in critical moments.
My probability model
Brazil wins: 53%
Draw: 29%
Morocco upset: 18%
Why isn't the gap that big?
Because Morocco's defense is too solid.
Their tactic is only one sentence:
You handle the show, I handle the home invasion.
Many giants control the ball 70%, then go home for 70 minutes.
Match flow
First 60 minutes:
Both sides cautiously test.
After 70 minutes:
The game enters a fierce phase.
Morocco's counterattack opportunities increase.
Finally:
1:1 handshake.
Trading ideas
★★★★★
Less than 2.5 goals
★★★★☆
Half-time draw
★★★☆☆
Full-time draw
★★☆☆☆
Exact score 1:1
History of the World Cup tells us:
The biggest enemy of popular teams is never the opponent.
But the words "guaranteed win." #预测世界杯美国VS巴拉圭