June 13, 2026 ETH Contract Strategy (Current Price ~1,675 USDT)

Core tone: Daily chart shows a major bearish trend, bottoming out with sideways consolidation at low levels; mainly shorting on rebounds, light positions testing longs at key support, no bullish reversal unless above 1,720.

1. Trend Structure (D1)

• Moving Averages: Price remains below the long-term 200MA (~1,700), with the 50MA (1,645) and 20MA (1,654) providing short-term support; short-term longs, medium-term shorts.

• Pattern: High point in May retraced, about 15% decline this month, currently consolidating at low levels.

• RSI(14): ≈53, neutral, no obvious overbought or oversold signals.

• MACD: Below zero line, green bars converging, bearish momentum weakening, bulls testing, no golden cross reversal.

2. Key Price Levels (Short-term core)

Resistance (Shorting zone)

• R1: 1,687–1,690 (intraday strong resistance, early morning high)

• R2: 1,708–1,720 (weekly dividing line, upper boundary of descending channel)

• R3: 1,730 (Fibonacci 23.6%, strong resistance)

Support (Longing zone)

• S1: 1,650–1,652 (intraday key support, multiple rebounds)

• S2: 1,630–1,632 (7-day moving average, yesterday’s low)

• S3: 1,580–1,600 (range lower boundary, strong support zone)

3. 4H Trading Strategy (Can be executed directly)

1) Short positions (main strategy, trend-following)

• Entry: 1,708–1,720 encountering resistance (bearish candle/long upper shadow)

• Stop-loss: above 1,730 (above R3)

• Take profit: 1,650 → 1,630 (partial exits)

• Position size: ≤20% (low liquidity on weekends)

2) Long positions (secondary, rebound)

• Entry: 1,630–1,650 stabilizing (bullish candle/long lower shadow)

• Stop-loss: below 1,620 (below S2)

• Take profit: 1,685 → 1,710 (exiting on resistance)

• Position size: ≤10% (weak rebound, light positions)

3) Wait-and-see (neutral zone)

• Range: 1,650–1,690, no heavy positions unless breakout, avoid frequent stop-loss.

4. Risk Control and Linkage Rules

• Weekend risk: low liquidity, frequent whipsaws, single trade ≤20%, total position ≤30%.

• Breakout rules:

◦ Above 1,720 with volume, cancel shorts, wait or lightly follow longs.

◦ Below 1,630 with volume, cancel longs, add to short positions.

• BTC linkage: ETH is highly correlated; if BTC breaks down, ETH will likely collapse directly.

5. One-sentence summary for today

Short at 1,708–1,720, long at 1,630–1,650, wait in between; no bullish unless above 1,730, no bearish #我的Gate交易时刻 unless below 1,620.