Don’t get fooled! This Bitcoin rebound isn’t a reversal—retail investors now only have two viable paths! The market gives you a candy not to cheer you up, but to see whether you can still smile the next time you get hit. Bitcoin has bounced back from below 60k to 63,500; on the surface, it’s due to easing US-Iran tensions and the risk-on sentiment brought by SpaceX’s listing. But you have to see the real picture—this is just “shorts taking a breath,” not “the bulls are back.” The real issue is: the buy-side hasn’t returned, ETFs are still watching from the sidelines, and retail panic selling hasn’t been fully cleared.

Strategy’s first sell has already shaken the belief of “never selling.” The probability of the Federal Reserve hiking rates within this year is still close to 60%, with capital costs staying high—why would big money rush in to take the other side? What should you do right now? Don’t chase the rebound—price increases without volume are just bull traps.

For spot holders: stay put, don’t add positions and don’t cut losses. If your position is heavy, and the rebound reaches around 65,000, consider reducing leverage or switching to stablecoins. Keep a close watch on ETF net inflows and Coinbase’s premium. If these don’t turn positive, there’s no talk of a reversal.

Trading playbook: for futures traders, keep the high-sell/low-buy approach—short around 64,000–65,000, with targets at 63,000–62,000–60,000. For spot traders: stick with dollar-cost averaging; buy more for every 10% drop, and hold tight! #SpaceX认购规模超2500亿美元 $BTC