64,200 Touchdown Falls Back! Trump’s “Handshake Agreement” Eve, Bulls and Bears’ Script Leaked Early

Last night BTC touched 64,200, like a scumbag finishing and running — leaving you blowing in the wind at the top.
News: Iran’s foreign minister said “a memorandum of understanding will be signed remotely within days,” the U.S. promises not to wage war. Is the bluster finally coming to fruition? But note: nuclear issues remain for future talks, and the agreement content can still change. Good news often turns into a trap once it’s exhausted; early morning MSTR only rose 3%, and the crypto market’s follow-up was weak.
Technical: Price consolidates around 63,800, with the BOLL upper band at 64,041 pressing down hard, and the middle band at 63,592 providing support. MACD shows a death cross with increasing green bars, RSI drops from 70 to 62, clearly indicating bulls are retreating.
Daily chart: The major cycle BOLL middle band at 67,527, with price far below, a typical bear market rebound. MACD negative bars still present, RSI at only 44, the overall trend has not turned bullish.
Liquidation map analysis: Short liquidation strength is almost zero, the whales have no motivation to push the market into a blow-off. Long liquidations pile up around 63,000; once the agreement is signed, “selling the news,” it’s highly likely to sweep the bulls downward first.
Personal opinion: Short around 65,000, long around 63,000. Watch the sideways range and don’t chase highs. If the agreement is signed, it’s “good news landing with a dip,” if not, it’s a “black swan drop.”
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