Technical Outlook: XRP Tests Cycle Lows Near $1.13 — Bears Remain Firmly in Control

XRP continues trading within a strong bearish structure after breaking below multiple support levels and failing to reclaim key resistance zones. Price is currently consolidating around the $1.13 support area, with sellers maintaining dominance across higher timeframes.
The broader market structure remains defensive, and bullish momentum is still absent unless XRP can reclaim major resistance levels overhead.
📈 EMA Structure (Strongly Bearish)
20 EMA: $1.2040
50 EMA: $1.2907
100 EMA: $1.3860
200 EMA: $1.5942
XRP remains below all major EMAs
Bearish EMA alignment persists (20 < 50 < 100 < 200)
Recent recovery attempts continue facing rejection from the 20 EMA
The 100 EMA and 200 EMA remain significant macro resistance levels
👉 The $1.20 – $1.39 zone continues acting as a major resistance cluster.
📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure
1.0 Fib (Cycle High): $3.3800
0.786 Fib: $2.8718
0.618 Fib: $2.4728
0.5 Fib: $2.1926
0.382 Fib: $1.9123
0.236 Fib: $1.5656
0 Fib (Cycle Low): $1.0051
XRP remains well below the key 0.236 Fibonacci level ($1.5656)
Price is currently trading just above the cycle-low support region
Market structure continues printing lower highs and lower lows
No meaningful bullish market structure shift has been confirmed
👉 Remaining below the 0.236 Fib keeps the broader trend decisively bearish.
🧠 Market Structure Insight (ICT Concepts)
XRP continues respecting a long-term descending trendline
Previous rallies have been aggressively rejected from supply zones
Recent breakdown swept nearby sell-side liquidity and pushed price toward cycle lows
Current structure reflects:
Persistent bearish order flow
Weak recovery attempts
Continued lower-high formation
Strong overhead supply pressure
Price is now approaching a critical support zone where buyers may attempt to defend the market.
👉 A breakdown below the cycle-low region could trigger another significant downside expansion.
📉 RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 35
Momentum remains weak despite a small bounce from oversold levels
RSI is still trading below the neutral 50 zone
Bearish momentum continues to dominate overall trend structure
👉 Short-term relief rallies remain possible, but trend confirmation is still lacking.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 Resistance
$1.20 — Immediate resistance / 20 EMA
$1.29 — 50 EMA resistance
$1.39 — 100 EMA resistance
$1.57 — 0.236 Fibonacci resistance
$1.59 — 200 EMA macro resistance
🟢 Support
$1.13 — Current support zone
$1.10 — Local demand area
$1.005 — Cycle low / major support
$1.00 — Psychological support level
📌 Summary
XRP remains under significant pressure as price continues trading below all major moving averages and key Fibonacci resistance levels. The recent breakdown keeps the broader trend bearish, while price hovers near cycle-low territory.
✅ Reclaiming $1.20 – $1.39 could improve short-term sentiment and open the path toward $1.57
❌ Losing the $1.10 – $1.00 support region could trigger another wave of selling and new cycle lows
👉 Overall, XRP remains in a defensive market structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above the EMA resistance cluster and descending trendline to shift momentum back in their favor.
$XRP