Will AI cause half of the people to lose their jobs?

When Anthropic CEO Dario predicts that programmers will be 99% unemployed, white-collar workers 50% unemployed, and the overall U.S. unemployment rate over 10%,
Jeff Bezos, on the other hand, has given a completely opposite judgment!
1. AI will not lead to unemployment; instead, it will cause a labor shortage!
AI significantly boosts productivity, and many people no longer need or want to work as hard as they did in the past,
but it will make willing workers scarce, leading to a labor shortage!
2. The value created by technology will ultimately spread throughout society through lower costs, higher efficiency, and cheaper products,
ultimately benefiting ordinary people.
3. Every major technological breakthrough will give rise to new industries, new demands, and new professions,
and future jobs will increase, but their types will change.