$AVAX Signal】Bearish sniper + 4H rebound resistance / deep imbalance


$AVAX Buy order depth at 0.78, with obvious weak support below. 1H MACD shows a golden cross but the bars are narrowing, indicating weakening upward momentum. The middle band of the 4H Bollinger Bands at 6.747 acts as direct resistance, with multiple attempts failing to break through. Trading volume decreases during the rebound, and the willingness of funds to chase the rally is weak. Currently, negative funding rates and stable open interest do not support a short squeeze.

🎯Direction: Short

⚡Entry/Order: 6.69585 - 6.71600, staggered entries within the range

🛑Stop loss: 6.78316

🚀Target 1: 6.61526

🚀Target 2: 6.56489

🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: Reduce 50% of the position after reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss to breakeven. If the price falls back into the entry zone, automatically exit to protect capital.

Depth logic: 1H RSI around 53, neutral to slightly weak, combined with a buy order depth ratio of 0.78, indicating that rebound selling pressure is being absorbed. If the 4H MACD golden cross cannot break above the middle band with volume, it is likely to fall back to test the lower band at 6.40. The risk-reward ratio for shorting is close to 1.5, making it a worthwhile trade.

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