🚨 Double-Headed Nightmare in Markets: "Economy Alive, Geopolitical Fire Burning Bright!"

Hello friends, global markets are starting a quite stressful week due to both the shock of strong data coming from the US and the escalating war drums in the Middle East. Here is a brief summary of the developments shaking the markets and what you need to know:
💪 US Employment Shocks the Market: US non-farm employment data doubled expectations, coming in at 172 thousand. The economy and labor market are quite resilient. This dashed hopes of interest rate cuts.
🔥 Is Inflation Monster Returning?: With the addition of the energy supply crisis in the Gulf to the live economy, inflation expectations have risen. CPI data will be announced on Wednesday, PPI on Thursday. Expectations are high; if the data is bad, markets could weaken further.
🦅 Hawkish Steps from the Fed Ahead: After strong data, the Fed's cumulative interest rate hike estimate until the end of the year jumped from 16 basis points to 30 basis points. The Fed may intensify hawkish rhetoric.
🌍 Trump Dilemma in the Middle East: Tensions between Israel and Iran are escalating. Trump says, "It's between them, I am not involved," but behind the scenes, he is trying to de-escalate the fire. Markets started the week negatively as they try to figure out whether the US will side with or against Israel.
📉 Red Alert in Stock Markets, Gold Under Pressure: Global stocks are in decline. Spot gold is trying to hold around $4,300. If tensions in the Gulf escalate and US inflation remains high, we could see a pullback in gold to $4,230.
🇹🇷 Domestic Inflation and Central Bank Watch: May inflation came in above expectations (%1.71), rising to 32.61% annually. The Central Bank (PPK) decision is on Thursday; it is normally expected to pass, but if the regional war cycle involves the US, the PPK might surprise with a rate hike.
📊 Critical Levels in BIST 100: The index closed the day down 1.28% at 13,694 points. To maintain the short-term upward trend, 13,660 is a critical support.
Main support: 13,000
Above 14,200 for upward movement.
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