#比特币回升5% In light of the current Bitcoin rebound of 5% and its reclaiming of the level above $63,000, here is my market analysis and personal trading strategy:

1️⃣ Can the rebound continue? Where is the next key resistance?

I believe this rebound is a technical rebound driven by short-term sentiment repair. Its sustainability is still in doubt, but the short-term momentum remains.

· Can it continue: The key is whether, over the next 48 hours, price can hold above $63,000 without quickly falling back. The rate-hike fears triggered by the non-farm payrolls have been digested to some extent, but the Federal Reserve’s policy path has not turned; the macro pressure is only temporarily easing. The current rebound lacks a clear incremental narrative (such as large ETF inflows or hash-rate adjustments after production cuts). Instead, it is driven more by short covering and bargain-hunting funds. If the daily candle closes consecutively above $63,500, the rebound may continue. If it falls back below $62,000 again, it could return to range-bound consolidation while searching for a bottom.
· Next key resistance: the $65,200–$65,800 range. This area is the lower boundary of the dense trading zone formed in mid-to-late May, and it is also the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of this round of decline. Breaking above this level requires volume confirmation; otherwise, it will most likely meet resistance and pull back. Above that lies the psychological level at $67,500.

2️⃣ My strategy and layout in the current range trading

Recently, the market has been in a “sharp drop – weak rebound” mode. I’m using a strategy of trying with a low position size first, then adding with higher certainty:

· Short-term trades: I have already entered a small long position around $61,800, with a stop-loss set below $60,500. As the rebound reaches about $63,300, I will start taking partial profits at $64,500—selling 1/3 of the position—and then observe whether it can break above $65,200. **I will not chase the price higher.** If it spikes straight above $65,500 and shows signs of stalling, I may instead try a small short position to bet on a pullback.
· Medium-term positioning: Keep a 40% allocation, mainly in BTC and ETH, with SOL as a supplement. The remaining funds are split into two parts:
· One part waits for a pullback confirmation: if the subsequent price retraces into the $60,000–$61,000 area and stabilizes, then gradually increase to a 60% allocation.
· The other part waits for a trend-reversal signal: i.e., a volume-supported hold above $65,800 and a daily MACD golden cross—then add on the right side.
· Risk-avoidance warning: The risk of current high-leverage contracts is extremely high. I only use spot or low leverage (within 2x). At the same time, closely monitor the U.S. CPI data on June 12—if inflation comes in above expectations, the rebound could end abruptly.

Summary: Don’t fantasize about a V-shaped reversal, and don’t panic into missing opportunities. Approach with a range-trading mindset—operate in batches at key levels, and prioritize defense over aggression.