#比特币回升5% The following is an analysis based on the current market conditions:

1️⃣ Regarding the sustainability of BTC rebound and key resistance levels
I believe this rebound is more of a technical correction after overselling, and whether it can continue depends on two aspects: first, a thorough shift in macro sentiment (such as a renewed increase in interest rate cut expectations), and second, whether the market can see sustained inflows of capital.
· Short-term judgment: The rebound on June 8th successfully broke above $63,000, which indeed eased market panic. But “non-farm payroll digestion” does not equal “shift to easing,” and the concerns about rate hikes are only postponed, not eliminated. Therefore, the rebound is unlikely to be a one-way move and will probably show a “step back after a step forward” oscillation pattern.
· Next key resistance level: the $65,000 - $66,000 range. This is a concentrated zone of previous chips and a technical neckline during the decline. If BTC can volume-break through and stabilize above $66,000, it may further challenge the previous high around $68,000; if it encounters resistance and falls back near $65,000, it could return to the $60,000 - $63,000 range for consolidation.
2️⃣ Personal recent trading and layout strategies
In the face of the current highly volatile oscillating market, I will adopt a “left-side batching, bottom-line thinking, and survival through volatility” strategy:
· Trading approach: avoid chasing rallies. Start taking partial profits on short-term positions from above $65,000, locking in gains. Meanwhile, place staggered orders in the $60,000 - $61,500 range to buy back BTC spot gradually. If the price unexpectedly drops below $58,000, it will trigger my “dollar-cost averaging buy zone,” which will actually increase long-term holdings.
· Layout directions:
· Mainstream coins: BTC and ETH as core holdings (ratio 6:4). ETH follows the rebound but needs to be monitored for whether it can stand alone and strengthen; otherwise, keep the current allocation ratio.
· Sector opportunities: SOL and ecosystem tokens show synchronized strength, which can be used as small positions to seek excess returns, but with strict trailing stop-loss settings.
· Defensive allocation: keep more than 30% in USDT stablecoins, avoid high-leverage contracts. Before the market truly establishes a trend, cash is the best weapon to wait for the right opportunity.
· Risk control: any rebound that falls below $60,800 (psychological integer level) again will trigger immediate reduction of holdings to below 50%, waiting for the next structural point.
Summary of personal view: This rebound is an opportunity to reduce short-term speculative positions and optimize portfolio structure, not the start of a trend reversal. The true right-side entry point requires Bitcoin to re-establish above $66,000 on the weekly chart and complete a retest confirmation. Until then, operate with a oscillation mindset; surviving is more important than how much you can earn.