$1630 ETH, do you want to cut your losses?

ETF just ended 17 consecutive outflows, but whales quietly bought $65 million below $1600—just now, the price bounced from $1545 back to $1630, with 24-hour trading volume expanding to $14.7 billion.

First look at the surface: halved again, retail investors desperately shout “ETH is going to zero.”

Compared to the 2025 high of $4953, it’s down 67%, with a large monthly red candle, and a 70%+ probability of negative returns in June historically. The candlestick tells you: RSI has fallen to the lowest since 2018, extremely oversold, with prices above the historic bottom zone of $1400-$1800. The darkest hour before dawn—don’t fall before dawn.

First thing: prices are in a bear market, but fundamentals are in a bull market.

What you see is ETH dropping from $4950 to $1630, a two-thirds decline. What you don’t see is:

- Staking lock-up has reached 28-32% of total supply, a record high

- L2 TVL continues to expand, RWA tokenization exceeds $17 billion

- Spot ETF net inflows remain positive, some products support staking yields

Fundamentals are as solid as an old dog, but prices are hammered into a golden pit by macro forces.

Second thing: whales are bottom-fishing, retail investors are cutting losses.

In the past week, ETF just ended 17 consecutive outflows. More importantly: a whale sold $141 million a week ago at a high, and in the past two days bought back $65.5 million below $1600.

Buy low, sell high—institutions play it clearly. *Retail investors are cutting losses at $1800, continue to cut at $1600, while whales quietly scoop up.

Third thing: a technical signal that must be taken seriously.

Daily RSI is at its lowest since 2018. Every time RSI hits this level in history, a 30-50% rebound follows.

1970-2000 is the critical survival line. Price now at $1630, still 22% below $2000. If volume can push above and hold $2000, the bear market structure officially reverses, targeting $2500-$3000.

Bull-bear showdown, see for yourself:

One side:

- RSI at lowest since 2018, extremely oversold

- Staking lock-up 32% of supply, circulating supply continues to decrease

- Whales net bought $65 million below $1600

- L2 + RWA real adoption, strongest fundamentals in history

The other side:

- June historically weak month, 70% chance of decline

- ETF still net outflows (though slowing)

- Macro liquidity tight, strong dollar suppresses

- No break above $2000, bear market structure remains

Key level at $1630, 340 dollars away from the critical line at $1970.

Resistance above: $1970-$2000 (bull-bear dividing line) → $2030-$2085 → $2500-$3000

Support below: $1550-$1600 (short-term lifeline) → $1400-$1500 (historic bottom zone)

Short-term traders:

Buy in batches at $1550-$1600 (light positions now), stop-loss at $1545, first target $1970-$2000 (20%+ rebound).

Swing traders:

Wait for daily close above $2000 to add on the right side, target $2500-$3000. Unconditionally exit if below $1550.

Long-term believers:

Invest blindly below $1600. Fundamentals haven’t changed, only your panic has. In late 2026, Glamsterdam upgrade + possible staking ETF, target $4000+. Keep cash ready for a second bottom.

ETH now is like $880 at the end of 2022—

99% of people thought “Ethereum is done,” but in 2024 it rose to $4900. #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 #预测NBA总冠军赢20,000U $BTC $ETH $SOL