$BTC This rally won’t last long…



In my last post, I explained that the probability of an upside breakout from this symmetrical triangle was much higher this time, and we did indeed get a breakout to the upside, triggering a small relief rally.

Although I expected it, I don’t believe this upside momentum will be sustainable for long.

In the chart below, I’ve highlighted two zones where I think price is likely to face rejection.

The first zone sits above the highs of the last compression phase, between 64.5k and 65.5k. This area also aligns with a low-volume node and a key Fibonacci level.

If we don’t get rejected there, I believe the next likely rejection zone is around the highs of the first compression phase within this downtrend.

This area also aligns with the POC and VAL of this leg down, sits between 67k and 68k, and has the quarterly open at its upper boundary.
BTC1.8%
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GateUser-14cb5f72
· 3h ago
I shorted this rebound around 65k, with a stop loss at 68.5k, the risk-reward ratio is still decent.
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GateUser-8da82d63
· 3h ago
After the symmetrical triangle breaks upward but the volume doesn't surge, it's a classic false breakout that attracts more traders. Those who understand, understand.
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LatencyMonk
· 3h ago
If both resistance zones have volume, I will sell in batches; structural shorting feels more comfortable than chasing longs.
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GateUser-46c777d0
· 3h ago
breakout is breakout, sustainable is another matter, don't confuse them
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Neon-LitStreetsAfterTheRain
· 3h ago
Low-volume nodes + Fibonacci + quarterly opening—triple resonance. The 67k–68k wall is thick enough.
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BluePeonyInTheDark
· 3h ago
Bro, your analysis is detailed. I’ve marked both resistance zones. Once it’s in position, I’ll go short.
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GateUser-8df0eb2b
· 3h ago
I actually think the first resistance zone might just break through directly, and we won't even touch 67k.
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TreatEarningsAsSnacks
· 3h ago
The quarterly opening price of 68k is a psychological barrier; even if it reaches that point, it's a battle between bulls and bears. I'm just watching the show for now.
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LendingPoolObserver
· 3h ago
VAL and POC stacked together are really disgusting. The bulls need to put in enough volume to push through—right now, it’s probably not enough.
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ColdBrewYield
· 3h ago
I made a quick profit from this relief rally and then got out—I don’t hold a long-term mindset. Structurally, it’s still a downtrend continuation.
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