Yang Guang bit | June 7 $ETH Precise Strategy Full Trend Control

Core Conclusion
Currently entering a weak rebound phase after oversold conditions. No trend reversal or upward surge will occur; this rebound is only a continuation of the decline. Any rebound is a high-selling opportunity to short, and the market will continue to test the 1500 integer level.
Today’s Approach
Entry Timing
Gradual entries within the 1620-1600 range
Stop Loss Setting
Stop loss: above 1650
Tiered Profit Taking
First target: 1570-1550
Second target: 1500-1550
Market Logic Breakdown
News (Authoritative sources: Xinhua News, Cailian Press, as of 14:00 on June 7)
May non-farm data completely shattered rate cut expectations. The data for the first two months was revised upward by 93k, confirming the labor market's unexpectedly strong performance. The market has shifted to pricing in further tightening by the Federal Reserve. A high-interest-rate environment will be maintained long-term, putting collective pressure on high-volatility risk assets.
U.S.-Iran negotiations still lack substantial breakthroughs; Israel continues to cause disruptions. Geopolitical uncertainties remain, and safe-haven funds continue to withdraw from the crypto market.
No substantial positive news to hedge against; market sentiment remains extremely panicked, with heavy selling pressure during rebounds.
Funding Situation
Ethereum spot ETF has experienced continuous net outflows for several days; leading institutions' selling pressure has not eased, and the trend of institutional withdrawal is clear.
Retail traders' bottom-fishing sentiment in the derivatives market remains high; long-short ratio stays elevated, leaving room for many longs to be liquidated.
Whale addresses continue to experience net outflows; large sell pressure has not been fully released, and market confidence has not recovered.
The downtrend is complete, with no reversal signals appearing. After a weak rebound, the downtrend will continue.
🚀 The market will never disappoint those who are prepared; what you lack is not the trend, but a clear mindset to precisely identify turning points. $ETH ‌#比特币ETF单日净流出7272枚