BTC current price $60,585, today’s decline -5.33%, intraday low touched $60,333. Gold, silver, and oil decline in sync


Today’s catalyst: U.S. non-farm payrolls report exceeded expectations with strong numbers
Then Trump said: The economy is strong, the stock market should rise, it has been like this for the past 200 years, economic growth does not mean inflation. He is talking about the logic from 200 years ago
The market’s answer points to 2026: the stronger the employment, the farther the rate cuts, the stronger the dollar, and the more pressure on risk assets
This is the modern version of good news being bad news: strong non-farm payrolls reduce the reason for the Fed to cut rates, a high interest rate duration extends by one quarter, and global dollar liquidity continues to tighten
👉Gold falls because the opportunity cost of holding gold rises
👉Oil falls because a strong dollar suppresses commodity pricing👉BTC falls because it is treated as a risk asset in this environment, not a safe haven asset
What Trump wants is rate cuts + stock market rise + strong economy, all three at the same time. The problem is that under the current monetary policy framework, these three cannot happen simultaneously. A strong economy is precisely the reason the Fed does not cut rates
Even more interesting is the underlying implication: he is also caught in the trap
Trump’s support for BTC this round, from strategic reserves to public endorsements, has established a strong political expectation. Now that BTC has fallen below $61K, with a daily decline of over 5%, this expectation is being eroded by reality
It’s not that BTC’s logic is broken, but macro gravity has always been there, and any narrative must pass this test
Strong employment → no rate cuts → dollar appreciation → liquidity tightening, this chain will not fail because of who endorses it
There have indeed been many truths over the past 200 years
But there is one rule that has never changed: the market always knows the answer before the president does
DYOR, not investment advice
#BTC #Gold #非农 #Trump
BTC-5.7%
GLDX-7.46%
PAXG-3.35%
View Original
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pinned