$64 SOL—do you dare to buy the dip?

From 294 to 64, halved again and again, a 78% drop. For 8 months in a row, bearish candles kept coming; the ETF is selling, Goldman is trimming, and Pump.fun is smashing the market with an $8.5 million dump—yet just when everyone is cursing “SOL is trash,” on-chain TVL is still holding steady at $4.8 billion, daily active users at 3.4 million, and RWA has set a new high of $2.8 billion

First, look at the surface: bad news everywhere, but the ecosystem isn’t dead.

Over the past 24 hours it fell another 6.5%, down 20% over 7 days, down 25% over 30 days, and the market cap is left at only $37 billion. The candlestick chart tells you: a descending channel is in play—breaking below all moving averages, oversold

First thing: everyone’s talking trash, but on-chain data is slapping them in the face.

Pump.fun dumped $8.5 million, Goldman reduced its SOL ETF holdings, and a Korean meme-coin scam was indicted—sounds like doomsday?

But if you look closely, here’s Solana’s May ecosystem summary:

RWA total value ATH $2.8 billion, accounting for 97% of the tokenized equities market share

Stablecoin supply $16.4 billion

ETF fund flows have set a record

Daily active users 3.4 million, peak 4.16 million, daily transactions over 100 million

Second thing: Visa, Mastercard, and SoFi are all using it—are you still doubting?

SoFiUSD—the first nationwide bank stablecoin in the US—has launched on Solana. USDC on Cash App is also live.

Visa/Mastercard payment partnerships are deepening.

The Alpenglow upgrade is on the way, targeting finality in 100–150 milliseconds—faster than now.

Third thing: extreme technical signals have appeared.

Eight months of consecutive bearish candles, from 294 to 64, a 78% drop.

More than $100 billion has evaporated from market value

Price is breaking below all major EMAs

The daily/weekly MACD death cross is continuing

Bull-bear showdown—you decide

One side is:

TVL $4.8 billion, DEX 24h volume $3.5 billion, Perps volume $4.3 billion

Daily active users 3.4 million, far exceeding most public chains

RWA $2.8 billion, stablecoins $16.4 billion, ETF fund inflows at record levels

Visa/Mastercard/SoFi bank collaborations are landing

From 294 to 64, a 78% drop, RSI oversold—ready to rebound anytime

The other side is:

Eight months of consecutive bearish candles, and the trend is still downward

Bitcoin ETF outflows + macro risk aversion, with SOL leading the decline as a high-beta asset

Pump.fun dumping + token unlock pressure

In the short term, panic sentiment—possibly testing 50–58 again

The key level is $64: it’s only 14 dollars away from the “life-or-death” line at 50 dollars.

Resistance overhead: 70 → 78–80 → 90

Support below: 58 → 50

For short-term traders:

Try a small long position around 65, with a stop-loss at 62. Rebound targets 70→78. Or just stay on the sidelines and wait—enter only after it holds above 70.

For those betting on a rebound: only when high-volume bullish candles plus a golden cross appear within the 58–65 range—buy for super-short-term trades, with position size ≤10%.

For swing players:

DCA in batches between 58–65, adding once every time it drops another 3 dollars. Target 90–100 (a reasonable valuation mid-range in 2026).

For long-term believers:

Turn off the candlestick chart, and do weekly DCA below 65. Target 100+ in the second half of 2026, and even a run at new highs. Betting on easing liquidity, the Alpenglow upgrade, and continued ETF inflows.

But remember one inviolable rule:

Preserving principal > being the hero who buys the dip.

Watch BTC: if BTC breaks below 60k, SOL will likely test 50–58 again.

SOL’s current situation is like the $8 SOL in December 2022—

Everyone was saying “Solana is going to zero, the FTX aftershocks aren’t over,” and the result was that after a year it rose 10x.

In every bull market, it will first drive the asset you’re most bullish on into doubt—then make it fly even higher. #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 #预测NBA总冠军赢20,000U $BTC $ETH $SOL