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Are you guys also always watching whale addresses to follow trades? I've been a bit overwhelmed these past couple of days... Honestly, seeing large inflows doesn't mean "it's about to take off." Sometimes, they're slowly building a position in spot markets; more often, they might just be hedging, rebalancing, or providing liquidity. To outsiders, it looks like a big bullish candle's prelude, but it's not really what you think.
Now, I’d rather spend ten more minutes clarifying the path: Is the funds being withdrawn from the exchange, or moved from other protocols? Are they immediately opening a reverse position afterward, or depositing into derivatives margin? If I don’t understand, I just don’t follow; missing out is fine, at least I won’t be fueling the fire.
Airdrop season is also pretty annoying this time. The task platform is both anti-witch-hunting and running a points system, and the grab-and-earn crowd is competing like clocking in at work... The more this atmosphere persists, the more I only trust the things I’ve signed myself, the private keys I can control. Don’t get carried away by the phrase “smart money.”