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Thursday Evening Jingyi's Thinking: The value of "Rebound Short" is still rising
U.S. initial jobless claims (225k) higher than expected (213k), indicating a cooling labor market. Theoretically, this is positive for a weaker dollar. If the market interprets this as a "recession signal" rather than a "cutting interest rates signal," it may trigger safe-haven selling in the short term, causing the market to fall first and then rise.
From a technical perspective, the overall moving averages remain in a bearish alignment, indicating that the bottoming time has not arrived. Pay attention to key support levels; on the 4-hour chart, it is in a clear downtrend channel.
Support below: 613. If broken, it is likely to test the 60k integer level or even lower.
Resistance above: around 643. The rebound needs to stabilize above this level to confirm a short-term bottom.
Trading Suggestions
Bitcoin: Rebound within the 637-645 range, consider short positions, with targets at 622-615 and the 60,000 level. A 5-digit price is also possible.
Ethereum: Rebound within the 1785-1800 range, consider short positions, with targets at 1750, 1700, and 1630.
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