Bitcoin Long-Position Exit Strategy Core Ideas

$BTC
1: Market Essence

In a mid-term bear market, the trend is led by institutions and trending downward; the bottom is most likely in September-October, with the earliest rebound in December.

$ETH
2: Emergency Actions

Close all contracts: willing to wait if spot drops 50%, but contracts are wiped out if they drop 20%
Stop dollar-cost averaging / grid: do not catch falling knives in a downward trend; reopen when trend reverses
Set hard stop-loss: reduce to 50% position if price drops below 68,000; reduce to 20% if it drops below 64,000

$SOL
3: Exit Logic Based on Different Situations

Light (<15%) Rebound first, sell and keep cash to buy back at lower points
Moderate (15%-35%) Use oscillation to do T+0 trading, lower costs, reduce difficulty of breaking even to within 10%
Severe (35%-60%) Stop-loss and switch positions, use strong coins like ETH/SOL to profit and cover losses
Super Severe (>60%) Do not invest new money, stay idle and wait for the next bull market

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4: Fantasies That Must Be Abandoned

Halving must lead to rise Institutions manipulate the market Immediate rate cuts No more drops Not selling means no loss

5: Absolute Mistakes to Avoid

Adding more as prices fall Leveraging to bottom fish Holding on stubbornly Frequent trading

6: Ultimate Principle

Prioritize survival, then recover costs, finally make profit. Staying alive is more important than anything else.