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Bitcoin is approaching the $70k psychological threshold, and the pressure is not just from a single point of negative news, but from a combination of redemptions, selling, and geopolitical risks pushing down the price.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see net outflows, with $2.4 billion leaving in May, indicating that institutional channels $BTC
are still withdrawing funds, and the rebound has less stable buying support.
The controversy over Strategy selling Bitcoin continues to ferment, focusing not on the amount but on the psychological impact of “long-term buyers also selling.”
Iran’s threat to close the Strait of Hormuz, along with the cooling of news about Israel and Hezbollah’s ceasefire, shows macro risks are pulling oil prices, the dollar, and crypto risk appetite in opposite directions.
Fear index is at 23, indicating sentiment has shifted toward fear, but fear does not automatically mean a bottom has been reached.
Open interest in Bitcoin contracts is $7.36 billion, suggesting leverage has not significantly exited the market, and the trend can be easily amplified by news.
Longs account for 68.0%, indicating the bullish side is somewhat crowded; if key support levels are broken, it could increase the pressure for a short squeeze.
The active buy-sell ratio for Bitcoin is 0.95, meaning active buying has not yet overwhelmed selling pressure, so short-term rebounds require both spot and futures to move together.
Whether the market can stabilize next depends on whether genuine support appears around $70k and whether ETF outflows can slow down.
Are you more concerned about the $70k support level or the flow of ETF funds?