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Today’s two trades, it’s not luck that mattered, but following the trend
Today’s live trading, I’ll briefly review the two trades.
ETH was short at 2083, stop loss at 2090.
Reached a high of 2085, dropped to a low of 2056.
BTC was short at 72200, stop loss at 72500.
Highest at 72300, lowest at 71400.
The most comfortable part of these two trades isn’t how much I made, but that I didn’t fight the trend much.
ETH only moved about 2 points at most, BTC didn’t even hit the stop loss, and after entering, it quickly moved in the expected direction. The risk-reward ratio is about 2:1, this kind of trade is what I like to do.
Honestly, the biggest risk in short-term trading isn’t misreading the market, but turning a short-term trade into a belief-based position.
Today’s logic is very clear:
First, this is a trend-following short, not a counter-trend top-fishing.
Second, the price is moving down after touching the 15/18-day moving average, with no strength in the rebound.
Third, key support levels aren’t showing a decent bounce, indicating the bulls can’t hold.
Fourth, Bollinger Bands and moving averages are both in a bearish alignment, structurally not supporting a strong long.
Fifth, MACD has a death cross below the zero line, indicating short-term weakness.
So I don’t want to guess the bottom at this level.
Many people see the price drop and want to buy the dip, thinking it’s cheap.
But cheap doesn’t mean it will go up; if support doesn’t bounce, that’s true weakness.
My feeling about these two trades today is:
BTC short at 72200, ETH short at 2083, both follow the structure.
Not rushing in after one bearish candle, not forcing trades just for the live broadcast.
The position is right, the logic is correct, the stop loss is clear, the risk-reward ratio is appropriate, so I execute.
If I’m wrong, I exit; if I’m right, I take what I should.
The trend is down, rebounds are weak, indicators align, support isn’t responding.
At times like this, I won’t force a bullish stance.
Today’s wins aren’t divine trades, they’re disciplined trades.