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Citi forecasts the tokenization market growth to $5.5 trillion - ForkLog: cryptocurrencies, AI, singularity, the future
Citi analysts expect the tokenized securities market to grow to $5.5 trillion by 2030. This is reported by CoinDesk, citing the bank's report Tokenization 2030: Wall Street On-Chain
Currently, the segment is valued at approximately $17 billion.
Citi's baseline scenario is in the range of $2.7-8.2 trillion depending on the adoption rate. According to the bank's estimates, by 2030, 10% of short-term U.S. Treasury securities and 3% of the U.S. public stock market could move onto the blockchain. Citi believes that stablecoins could generate an additional demand for U.S. government bonds of up to $1 trillion.
Previously, the bank provided more conservative forecasts. The report Money, Tokens, and Games mentioned $4 trillion of tokenized financial and real assets in private markets by 2030.
Separately, analysts estimated the tokenized stock market at $4-5 trillion and about $1 trillion in transactions within trade finance and collateral segments. Citi is already testing the infrastructure. In November 2024, the bank, together with Fidelity International, launched a pilot with a tokenized money market fund and a digital currency swap.
At that time, Citi projected the segment to grow to $400 billion by 2030. In May, it was announced that the U.S. is preparing a regulatory framework for trading tokenized securities.
By November 2025, IOSCO stated that RWA creates new vulnerabilities, despite the potential for transforming the issuance and trading of financial assets.
Recall that in May, the market capitalization of tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds on Ethereum reached a record $8 billion.