The likelihood of the United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases

ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.
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YieldYardkeeper
· 3h ago
The probability of the peace agreement being cut in half, is crude oil about to take off again?
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GateUser-470bc925
· 3h ago
It's still early April 2026; betting now is purely gambling.
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CrystalBallForSentiment
· 3h ago
22% plunge, this fluctuation is even more exciting than a Shiba Inu.
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FudAlsoNeedsAnImage
· 3h ago
The wisdom of the prediction market vs. the chaos of real-world politics, I stand with the latter.
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LeverageLatte
· 3h ago
Middle Eastern predictions on Polymarket, I definitely don't dare to touch them.
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GateUser-bee672a5
· 3h ago
61% to 39%, the market is repricing war risk
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GateUser-5578154d
· 3h ago
If 22 points are gone, they're gone. Is your position still there?
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PatinaTradingBell
· 3h ago
Down 22% in a single day, shorts are making a killing
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GateUser-8947c5ff
· 3h ago
Is this market reacting to Trump's or Biden's policy expectations?
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