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The likelihood of the United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases

MeNews
ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.
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ShortPositionsAtTheElevator
· 2h ago
Peace agreement? The market first cast a vote of no confidence.
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GateUser-673fb6fa
· 2h ago
A 20% drop in a single day, what happened over there in Iran?
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-047cb6fc
· 2h ago
39% means six out of ten people are betting on it remaining stuck.
View OriginalReply0
LatencyMonk
· 2h ago
Predictive markets are sometimes more accurate than CIA intelligence.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-917390d5
· 2h ago
61→39, this fluctuation is even more exciting than a Shiba Inu.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-423f10e3
· 2h ago
22% plummet, the Middle East powder keg is smoking again
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-6da8ed4c
· 2h ago
22 points evaporated, and the multi-head was buried quite badly
View OriginalReply0
ElevatorMeme
· 2h ago
Probability halved, it seems traders have caught wind of something.
View OriginalReply0

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