5 Waves Goodbye, Brief Talk on the Explosive Big Thunder in June, the Real Avalanche Moment in the Crypto Circle Has Arrived?

Today is the last day of May, looking back at the fluctuations in May, the script was already released in advance on May 2nd, and the trend was as if sketched out!

At the beginning of the month, driven by continuous inflow of institutional funds, the price effectively stabilized at 77k and broke through the 80k mark, hitting a three-month high, with a monthly increase of over 15%. However, after May 15th in the latter half of the month, the bullish forces quickly collapsed, and the lowest point touched around 72,450, officially breaking below 73,000, which was widely regarded by the market as the "bulls' lifeline," continuously facing selling pressure, with no upward momentum in technicals, showing an extremely weak pattern of "a unilateral decline without negative news."

Up to now, there is still no sign of a reversal, and it remains in a state of oscillating downward. Although there is positive news from Emei, it does not affect the overall weak tone. In the short term, if the current core defense zone of 72,000 cannot hold, the next strong support level around 70,000 should be tested. Once broken, it will form a 6-digit pattern!

Especially with the several explosive news items coming up, the main background outlines for June are relatively weak! Once one appears, it will be a destructive blow! Retail investors and newbies, if you don’t understand this, your first priority in June is to save your life, second is to make money!

Today’s article may very well save your life. If you don’t want to lose the profits you've made over the past half year in June, or even risk your principal, please be patient and read everything I’m about to say. I dare say 90% of financial bloggers wouldn’t dare to reveal this clearly. After reading, I suggest you share and bookmark this, as it might be censored at any time.

Last Friday, eight departments jointly took action, and Tiger Securities and Futu Securities were heavily fined. Today, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority also plans to verify accounts. By January 2023, the channels for domestic funds to buy U.S. stocks have been completely cut off. So far, the whole internet seems to be interpreting the regulations, but today I want to tell you a truth no one dares to say: this is not punishment, it’s the higher-ups sending you the last escape boat. If you connect the events that will happen in the next 20 days, you will definitely feel a chill down your spine. There are three big shocks likely to trigger a chain reaction in June.

The first, on June 11th, the World Cup opens. I don’t need to say much about this—the World Cup curse. Historically, almost every World Cup has seen global stock markets decline, as many financial capital flows into watching the games and betting, causing the stock market to bleed out. Reflecting this in the crypto world, it naturally leads to a crash!

The second, on June 12th, Elon Musk’s SpaceX will go public early. The key word here is "early." Almost all of Musk’s major life events happen around June 28th, his birthday—Tesla’s IPO, acquiring Twitter, brain-computer interface approval, autonomous driving delivery—all without exception.

This time, SpaceX’s historic IPO was originally scheduled for June 28th. Why was it suddenly moved up by two weeks? To beat the Federal Reserve’s decision. As the old saying goes, “When something is abnormal, there’s a demon behind it.” Basically, he probably knows big trouble is coming, so he’s rushing to cash out and run before the crash. Before that, the money in the crypto sector will naturally flow there, leading to liquidity tightening and on-chain sentiment cooling.

The third, and most terrifying, is the early morning of June 18th at 2 a.m., when the Federal Reserve’s new chair, Waller, will announce the first interest rate decision. Many are still hoping for rate cuts, but I tell you, Waller’s focus is not on cutting rates but on shrinking the balance sheet. How aggressive is shrinking the balance sheet? Ten times more terrifying than rate hikes—90% of retail investors don’t even understand its power. Let me explain plainly: after listening, you’ll want to immediately liquidate.

While both rate hikes and balance sheet reductions drain money from the market, they are not on the same level. Rate hikes only make borrowing more expensive, discouraging loans, reducing derivative money, like stepping on the brakes. Shrinking the balance sheet, on the other hand, directly pulls back the money printed by the central bank, reducing base money—like unplugging the power supply.

For example, if the central bank only prints 100 yuan of base currency, through bank deposits and loans, it can circulate up to 1,000 yuan in the market. Rate hikes make people borrow less, so the market money might drop from 1,000 to 700. But shrinking the balance sheet directly pulls back 100 yuan, instantly evaporating the remaining 900 yuan—this is deleveraging, a complete blow to the system.

Currently, the U.S. has about 6.7 trillion dollars in debt. Market expectations are that Waller will shrink it to 4 trillion within two years, meaning pulling out 2.7 trillion dollars of base currency. Multiplied by the U.S. money multiplier of 4.2, this could cause the global market to evaporate 11.4 trillion dollars—more brutal than the rate hike cycle that pushed the A-shares down to 2800 in 2022. Do you think the crypto world can escape unscathed? When the avalanche hits, no snowflake is innocent!

At this point, do you still think it’s just a coincidence? There are too many uncertainties in June. The World Cup on the 11th will drain global funds, SpaceX’s IPO on the 12th will suck blood before the Fed’s balance sheet reduction on the 18th, and the global liquidity will be severely drained. At this critical moment when all these shocks could explode simultaneously, the authorities suddenly cut off the route for domestic investors to buy U.S. stocks.

Do you really think it’s just a coincidence? No, it’s protecting you—afraid that naive retail investors in China will rush to buy U.S. stocks and get wiped out, leaving nothing behind. That’s all I can say! I am firmly bearish on June’s market—short-term, medium-term, long-term, all bearish. Rebounds are just opportunities to short. Watch the lows step by step: Bitcoin at 686-638-568, Ethereum at 1650-1430-1210! Whether you execute or not depends on your faith!

If you find this useful, quickly like and share it with your friends. Saving one is worth it. I will keep you updated on any movements! #WTI原油失守90美元 #美伊谈判博弈 $BTC $ETH $BNB