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The likelihood of the United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases

MeNews
ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.
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MevInRetrospect
· 10h ago
The prediction market is a live large-scale sentiment indicator.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeesAfterTheRain
· 12h ago
This probability drops faster than my holdings.
View OriginalReply0
LittleSunOfStainedGlass
· 12h ago
22 points drop, Middle East situation more exciting than DeFi
View OriginalReply0
TheReflectionUnderTheNeon
· 12h ago
Geopolitical risk premiums are being re-priced
View OriginalReply0
DeltaSmile
· 12h ago
This volatility, I suggest opening a perp to hedge.
View OriginalReply0
ArbitrageIsn'tAsGoodAsGetting
· 12h ago
Retail investors are always holding the bag for smart money.
View OriginalReply0
BluePeonyPlan
· 12h ago
It's still early 2026; betting now is purely gambling.
View OriginalReply0

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