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$251 TAO, do you dare to buy the dip?
From a flash crash of 20% at $330, everyone is cursing "centralization scam," but just now, the 24-hour trading volume surged from $80 million to $165 million, doubling in size, and the price rebounded from $240 to $259.
First look at the surface: bad news dumps the price, but someone is buying at the bottom.
In the past 7 days, TAO has risen 7.9%, but if you bought at the high of $330 and hold until now, your account is still down 20%. Market cap is $2.49 billion, ranked 39, with 24-hour volume expanded to $165 million. The candlestick chart shows: the downtrend wedge is converging at the end, $240-$260 is a strong historical support zone, RSI at 43 is neutral to weak but not oversold, MACD death cross is narrowing: the shakeout is nearing the end, don’t get caught at the bottom.
First thing: Covenant AI has run away, but the market no longer cares.
One subnet exited, openly criticizing "centralization," directly smashing TAO from $330 down to $265, a 20% drop. But after the dump, it didn’t fall further, instead bouncing back from $240 to $259. What does “bad news exhausted” look like? This is it.
Second thing: TAO is not an AI concept coin; it is the only “alive” decentralized AI marketplace.
- Other AI coins: making big promises, writing roadmaps, hyping the mainnet launch next year.
- TAO: has already run over 120 subnets, and in Q1, generated $43 million in AI usage fees. Miners and validators are making money, subnets are listed for sale (a subnet listing costs $970k).
Grayscale and Bitwise have jointly submitted a TAO spot ETF application, with SEC decision expected in August. Grayscale’s TAO trust is already online.
Third thing: a critical technical signal has appeared.
Volume at the bottom. 24-hour trading volume skyrocketed from $80 million to $165 million, doubling.
The downtrend wedge is converging, with $240-$260 as a historic strong support zone (multiple rebounds). As long as this zone holds, an upward breakout of the wedge’s upper boundary at $286-$296 targets the first goal of $325, then $371, with a mid-term view of $500-$700. But at $325, TAO has hit the wall three times.
Bull-bear showdown, you decide.
One side says:
- Halving completed, emission halved, selling pressure greatly reduced
- Spot ETF application on the way, decision in August
- 120+ subnets actively running, Q1 revenue of $43 million
- Bottom volume support, $240-$260 strong support
The other side says:
- Covenant AI exit triggered centralization doubts (already digested)
- Bitcoin macro pressure, liquidity tight
- Weekly moving averages in a bearish alignment, short-term weakness
- $325 has failed three times, huge psychological pressure
Key level: $259, 66 dollars away from the critical $325 line, but only 19 dollars from support.
Resistance above: $286-$296 (wedge upper boundary) → $325 (neckline, bull/bear critical line) → $371 → $500
Support below: $240 (iron bottom) → $200 (extreme case)
Aggressive short-term:
Buy in batches around current $251, stop-loss at $238, first target $296-$325 (30%+ profit), break $325 add more at $371.
Moderate mid-long term:
Weekly dollar-cost averaging in the $240-$260 zone, hold until ETF lands by end of 2026. Bull market top expected at $800-$1500, conservatively $500-$700. Double your position, take 20% profit, keep some for big gains.
Position discipline:
TAO is highly volatile, keep total position at 10-20%. Never go all-in, leave cash for lower entries. Watch BTC—if BTC breaks down, TAO will follow.
TAO now is like Solana in 2020—
99% of people thought “An AI coin can’t rise?,” but after subnet revenues kept growing and ETF approval, it shot from $200 to $2000. #成长值抽奖赢金条 #WTI原油失守90美元 $BTC $ETH $TAO