It's the end of the month, and June is commonly known as the risk month. Let's review the macro events of June!


📌 First and most importantly is the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, the first one led by Waller, on June 18th!
Next is Japan's interest rate meeting, currently no further evidence of rate hikes in Japan, on June 13th.
Then there's the volatile Middle East situation. Personally, I don't think peace talks will come easily, which is one of the reasons for taking a break these past few days.
Non-farm payroll data on June 6th, CPI inflation data on June 11th, PCE inflation data on June 17th.
📌 Next are the topics related to U.S. bonds and U.S. stocks.
U.S. Treasury bonds will mature throughout June, not on a large scale, but routine refinancing is needed.
The authoritative figure states the scale is $1.07 trillion. If true, it will drain liquidity.
At the end of June, the end of Q2 + mid-year, is a window for institutions to realize profits. Public funds and hedge funds need to meet semi-annual performance assessments, so there's a high probability of profit-taking from the first half of the year.
Will SpaceX's IPO hurt valuations? If valuations drop, how much can they drop? We need to watch and see.
📌 Throughout the month, crude oil remains a focus.
Uncertain U.S.-Iran situation + OPEC, with expectations of OPEC meetings in June, and news about production cuts or increases.
Other than that, there’s not much else. That’s all I know for now. No detailed breakdown; too many details to list. #WTI原油失守90美元 $XTIUSD200
XTIUSD200-1.97%
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Mint-ColoredCalmness
· 4h ago
Concentrated U.S. Treasury bond maturities + half-yearly assessments, double debuff
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ForkingDrama
· 5h ago
PCE and CPI are so close together, data conflict warning
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WatercolorInAGlassBottle
· 5h ago
Did SpaceX go public to kill valuation? The first thing it kills is sentiment.
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BluePeonyDarkroom
· 5h ago
Crude oil at 90 can't hold, and the inflation narrative is about to be rewritten again
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RouterWhisperer
· 5h ago
In this Middle Eastern script, taking a break is the right move, I copied it.
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HashbrownHero
· 5h ago
Institutional accounting at the end of the second quarter, historical patterns must be respected
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DaoScraps
· 5h ago
1.07 trillion yuan refinancing, liquidity draining confirmed
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GovernanceGremlin
· 5h ago
Vosh's debut + Bank of Japan, the turning point between old and new narratives
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椰子壳里装Alpha
· 5h ago
In June, with this macro density, I feel like the position needs to be halved.
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