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$ETH ETH/USDT Support and Resistance Levels Precise Points (For Reference Only)
One, Core Trends and Key Points
Trend Positioning: Daily/4-hour charts show a clear downtrend, 1-hour is in a weak consolidation of the downtrend, 15-minute is in ultra-short-term rebound correction, overall bearish dominance, rebounds are viewed as "weak surges."
Key Premises:
1. Before the price breaks 2030, all rebounds are considered shorting opportunities;
2. Before the price drops below 1960, a brief weak consolidation is possible; a break below would restart bearish momentum.
Two, Key Support/Resistance Levels (Main reference for the next 24 hours)
Support Levels
1960-1970 (Recent 1-hour lows)
1935-1945 (Previous daily/4-hour oscillation lower boundary)
1900 (Integer psychological support level)
Further support levels: 1885-1865-1835
Resistance Levels
2060-2080 (Dense resistance zone on 1-hour moving averages)
2000-2020 (Resistance zone on 15-minute/1-hour moving averages)
2030 (Key level dividing bulls and bears, a breakout indicates a short-term trend reversal)
Entry Conditions (Any one of the following suffices)
1. Price rebounds to 2020-2030 zone, with a long upper shadow on the 15-minute chart, MACD bearish crossover, or RSI(6) entering overbought (>70);
2. Price encounters resistance near **2030**, forming a secondary top on the 1-hour chart, with moving averages continuously suppressing.
Entry Range: 2020-2030 (Main short position)
Stop Loss: 2035 (Slightly above the 2030 key level to avoid false breakouts)
Take Profit Targets:
- First target: 1965 (Recent low, reduce 50% of position)
- Second target: 1935-1945 (Strong support, close remaining position)
- Position Control: 3%-5% of total funds, add no more than 1/3 of total position
Contrarian Light Position for Longs (Only as auxiliary, high risk, low position size)
Entry Conditions (Must be met simultaneously)
1. Price retraces to 1960-1970 zone, showing signs of stabilization (e.g., long lower shadow, 15-minute MACD bullish crossover);
2. 1-hour RSI enters oversold zone (<35), without breaking below 1960 support.
Entry Range: 1960-1970
Stop Loss: 1950 (Slightly below 1960 support to avoid breakdown risk)
Take Profit Targets:
First target: 2000-2020 (Resistance zone, reduce 60% of position)
Second target: 2030 (Key level, close remaining position if encountered resistance or exit entirely)
Position Control: 2%-3% of total funds, enter only once per batch, no additional positions.
Three, Key Risk Management and Precautions
1. Trend First: The medium-term downtrend is clear; contrarian longs are only for short-term rebounds, never hold heavy positions or add positions, to avoid being trapped in the downtrend.
2. Rigid Stop Loss: Strictly set stop losses regardless of long or short, to prevent large losses from rapid breakouts.
3. Position Management: Intraday total position should not exceed 5% of total funds, to prevent account drawdowns from volatility.
4. Signal Confirmation: All entries must be based on "price + indicator" dual signals; avoid chasing without signals.
Four, Key Observation Points for the Next 24 Hours
1. Whether the price can hold above 1960 support; a break below would restart bearish momentum, targeting 1935-1900;
2. Whether the rebound can break through the 2030 key level; a breakout could trigger short-term recovery, aiming for 2060-2080;
3. Whether the 1-hour MACD forms a bullish divergence; if so, bearish momentum weakens, and additional long positions can be considered.