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May 28, 2026, Short-term oversold overlapping condition, therefore two plans are provided: one for contrarian rebound (countertrend, high risk), and one for shorting after rebound (trend-following, relatively stable).
(1) Contrarian short-term long (oversold rebound, for aggressive traders only)
· Entry range: 73,800 – 74,200 USDT. You can enter a small position near the current price or place an order at 73,900 waiting.
· Stop-loss level: 73,500 USDT. Once it breaks below the lower Bollinger band and accelerates, exit unconditionally.
· Take-profit targets: first target 75,200 USDT (previous small platform low), second target 75,800 USDT (near MA60).
· Position and leverage: spot or futures with no more than 2x leverage, control position within 1% of total funds, quick in and out, no overnight hold.
Logic: RSI6 has dropped to 28.12, indicating a historically extreme oversold condition, and the price has touched the lower Bollinger band, which usually signals technical correction. But note, rebounds in weak markets can be very short-lived, strict stop-loss is necessary.
(2) Trend-following short (enter after rebound, recommended)
· Entry range: 75,500 – 76,000 USDT. Wait patiently for the price to rebound to MA60 (75,686) or MA5 (76,030) area, and open short when signs of stagnation appear (such as upper shadow, decreasing volume).
· Stop-loss level: 76,500 USDT. If the price re-establishes above MA10, the bearish logic weakens, stop loss.
· Take-profit targets: first target 73,800 USDT, second target 73,000 USDT.
· Position and leverage: normal position, futures with 2-3x leverage is sufficient.
Logic: The major trend remains downward, with moving averages in a bearish alignment. A rebound to the moving average resistance levels is a classic opportunity to short.
(3) Breakout follow-up (wait for clear signals)
· Short entry condition: volume increase (VOL > 5k) and price breaks below 73,500 USDT.
Entry near 73,400 USDT with a light position, stop loss at 74,200, target 72,000.
· Long entry condition: volume increase and price stabilizes above 76,200 USDT (must break MA10).
Entry near 76,300 USDT with a light position, stop loss at 75,500, target 77,500.
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4. Overall Recommendations
· If you are an intraday aggressive trader, try going long near 74,000, with strict stop-loss at 73,500, and exit around 75,200—don’t hold on to the battle.
· If you are a swing or trend trader, it’s recommended to abandon bottom-fishing, patiently wait for the price to rebound to 75,500–76,000 area, then build short positions in batches, which aligns with the current trend.
· If you already hold short positions, consider partial profit-taking near 74,000, and set a breakeven stop-loss on remaining positions to watch for 73,000.
· Risk warning: The current market sentiment is fragile, any sudden news (such as US-Iran negotiations, macro data) could trigger sharp volatility. Regardless of long or short, set stop-losses, and leverage should not exceed 3x.