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8.12 Midday Market View: BTC/ETH 1-Hour Timeframe
The 1-hour Bollinger Bands remain in a downward-opening structure with no reversal. ETH fell from the previous high of 1939.63 on heavy volume to a low of 1852.15, then rebounded slightly on declining volume. The short-term moving averages remain in a bearish alignment, continuing to suppress the market. Insufficient rebound volume prevented a test of the Bollinger middle band resistance. BTC moved in tandem with ETH, falling from a high of 65488 to a low of 63209. Buying momentum remains weak during the low-level recovery, with no independent

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $145 million yesterday. Grayscale's BTC Mini Trust recorded a single-day net inflow of approximately $37.0568 million, with historical net inflows of $270 million; the largest single-day net outflow was from BlackRock IBIT, at approximately $53.5612 million, with historical net inflows of $6.11B. As of press time, total net asset value stood at $7.82B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and cumulative historical net inflows totaled $5.2B.

There is not much to review this weekend. Liquidity is extremely poor; Chen Jian’s wick to around 65,500 met resistance and pulled back. It is currently at the 64,900 level, while ETH is near 1,910. On the hourly chart, it is trading below the lower band. The KDJ has formed a bearish crossover and is opening downward.
Short around 65,200-65,800; target: around 64,200-63,400
Short around 1,930-1,960; target: around 1,890-1,850
Life is so long that the gains and losses of one city or one battle really amount to nothing compared with the distant place you truly want to reach.
The above is solely

Many trading principles are actually understood by everyone. ☺️
Control your position size, set strict stop-losses, and follow the trend. Don’t predict the market or trade too frequently. Almost every trader has heard these words and can even recite them backward.
But very few people truly put them into practice. Some principles aren’t understood by listening; they’re understood through losses.
When I first entered the market, I also thought I was the exception. Others would get trapped chasing rising prices, but I could get out; others would blow up holding losing positions, but I could wait

Crypto market liquidity is really poor
　　It's obvious that most of the capital has flowed into U.S. stocks
　　In the past, BTC would have broken through by now
　　With no rate hike in the U.S. stock market last week, it should have broken upward
　　The failure to break through shows that the smart money isn't here
　　They've moved into U.S. stocks or assets like gold and silver
　　But don't be too pessimistic, because BTC's turn will come eventually
　　At some point, it has to make an accelerated push higher

Iran plans to ban US and Israeli vessels from passing through the strait; hold shorts patiently! August 7 BTC and ETH strategy
Trump said: “The war with Iran will end soon. I am involved in negotiations with Iran, and an agreement may be reached shortly. I don't think Iran can hold out for long. No agreement has been reached on the Strait of Hormuz, but the strait is currently ‘to some extent’ open. At present, we control the Strait of Hormuz.” The blond man also mentioned the issue of arms supplies: “We are currently in good shape. We have unlimited supplies, but we always want more ammunitio

On August 6, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) successfully broke through the key psychological and technical resistance level of $65,000, marking a shift in market sentiment from caution to optimism.
· Breakout signal: BTC recently completed a breakout above $65,000, after undergoing an extended period of consolidation between $60,000 and $63,000.
· Market sentiment: The technical breakout, combined with favorable macro conditions, has drawn simultaneous attention from institutional and retail capital. Notably, the Fear and Greed Index has recently remained in the “fear” zone at 27, indicating that sentime

BTC rebounded to around 63.8k after bottoming at 62.2k, while ETH fluctuated weakly around $1,860; the Fear & Greed Index stood at 25. US spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of $170 million yesterday, while ETH ETFs recorded slight outflows of $11.9 million. Strategy sold 1,638 BTC for $105 million in cash, and Saylor clarified that this was a corporate capital operation and that he personally did not sell any coins. Institutional on-chain adoption is accelerating: BlackRock launched two tokenized money market funds, Mastercard acquired stablecoin infrastructure provider BVNK for $1.8 billion, and R

On the evening of July 31, major coins all dumped at once. BTC fell by more than 3%, and ETH also dropped by three points. DOGE fell 2.31%. To be honest, this level of volatility isn’t really news in the crypto space—what matters is what you were doing when the sell-off hit. Whether you panic-sell and cut losses, or calmly watch on-chain data, determines whether you’re there for the next rebound or miss out again. Don’t always focus on buying at the absolute bottom—first think about whether your position can withstand those night-time spikes.

August 3, 2026 (Monday) BTC/USDT Perpetual Contract Technical Analysis
I. Market Structure Guidance
Daily timeframe: At the medium-term level, the overall trend remains a range-bound, slightly bearish structure. Price is under pressure from long- and medium-term moving average resistance, and rebounds lack staying power. RSI is in a neutral range; it has not entered overbought/oversold yet. Long/short competition is balanced, and there is no clear one-way trend.
4-hour timeframe: Entered a converging range consolidation. The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, moving averages are intertwined,

Bitcoin’s long-cycle forecast: Fibonacci confirms it—5.7w could be the all-time major bottom
Daily price 63254 is being suppressed by EMA7 (64460) and EMA25 (64279), with MACD in negative territory, so the short-term outlook is weak. On the weekly timeframe, EMA7 (64770), EMA25 (71357), and EMA99 (79154) are all capped overhead, implying a bearish trend. But on the monthly chart, KDJ’s J value has already fallen to 3.61 and is getting “oversold” with weakening momentum, suggesting the downside drive in the long cycle is close to exhaustion. Even if the short-term remains weak, the major bottom

Ethereum today fell straight through $1,900, closing at 1,877. Mainnet Gas fees are so low they’re in the dust; deflation turns into “de-facto” inflation, and miners and long-term holders are collectively breaking down. 🌊
External conflicts layered on top of high oil prices—markets worry rate hikes aren’t over. ETF flows have continued to post net outflows, and big institutions quietly sell while still shouting long-term value.
L2 has grabbed most of the mainnet transactions down to scraps—ETH isn’t earning fees, and Wall Street’s “digital oil” narrative is temporarily failing.
Right now it’s

July 31, 2026 (Friday) BTC Perpetual Contracts | Technical Analysis + Trading Strategy
Market Structure Overview
After the Fed interest rate decision was released, BTC surged and then repaired higher on the upside; the daily chart is under pressure from the mid-term moving averages. The rebound volume did not continue to expand, which fits a range-bound repair market. On the 4-hour chart, a converging triangle has formed: the highs and lows are gradually compressing, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and volatility keeps contracting—directional selection is imminent.
On the contract order book,

Crypto is in decline! Over this period, 90% of the content published by crypto media and crypto KOLs has been about Korean stocks, US stocks, and China A-shares. The remaining 10% is split evenly: half involved in infighting, half lining up to make a getaway. In the past, during bear markets, everyone argued about who the Ethereum killer is, whether L2 has any meaning, and which coin will be the next 100x. Even when they fought, at least they still had faith in their hearts—they were still debating a future. In this kind of situation now, no one caring is the most dangerous.

I. Macro market sentiment (primary catalysts)
1. A number of important overseas policy meetings are approaching, increasing the market’s wait-and-see mood. Many funds choose to reduce their positions. The market is concerned that the policy tone may be more cautious, easing expectations have cooled, and risk-on assets are under collective pressure, adjusting downward.
2. Overnight, overseas technology sector performance weakened, and related sector stocks generally pulled back. The main digital assets have strong linkage with overseas growth names; with sentiment in the broader market turning

From last night’s price action, it looks like the weekly wave 6 correction has ended, and wave 7 bearish movement has begun. 1980 has already become a major top— the historical peak before the bull market starts! The host is convinced that unless 1383 is broken, a large-scale base will not form. Only a large-scale base will attract big capital and produce a big bullish candle signal—two essential conditions for the bull market to start. Seize this short opportunity; under no circumstances go heavy. Stop loss at 1980, take profit at 1383. Let’s go.

Only by resolving ideological problems can we solve practical problems.
Ideology is the forerunner of action; ideology determines action, and action determines results. To do our work well or to do things well, we must first correct our mindset. Ideology is the source of living water; it is the foundation and the root. Ideology determines whether work will succeed or fail and the effectiveness of outcomes. Therefore, we must attach great importance to ideology and to the problems that exist in our way of thinking. Big Ether. #以太坊 $ETH ‌

1. Market Overview: Surge then Retreat, Loses $64,000
On July 25, Bitcoin saw a sharp surge and retreat. Early Friday morning, BTC briefly climbed to $65,705, but soon faced heavy sell pressure. Within seven hours, it slid to an intraday low of $63,666. The market cap evaporated by more than $20 million. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is temporarily around $63,878, with a daily decline of about 0.30%.
This drop triggered large-scale leverage position liquidations—across the whole market, $312 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, including $70 million liquidated from Bitcoin long

Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy With Market Analysis
In the past few days, Bitcoin/Ethereum have been moving sideways near the highs. We repeatedly reminded you about the strategy of going long-term short after pumping and adding to short positions. The price then kept falling all the way to around 64,600 for Bitcoin and around 1,860 for Ethereum, showing that the overall range remains visible. Currently, the market has bounced again, and it also provides another chance to enter short positions. The 4-hour chart shows recent range-bound consolidation. The latest candlestick is a bullish cand