Polymarket launches a new poll, “When will Powell step down as the chair of the Federal Reserve?” From June 6 to June 12, the probability is temporarily shown as 20%.

robot
Abstract generation in progress
ME News Report, April 18 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has listed a new event: "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?" Currently, the highest probability is from June 6 to June 12 at 20%; the next highest is from May 30 to June 5 at 18%.
The event contract rules are: The market will settle based on the specified date range when Powell steps down as Federal Reserve Chair.
"Resignation" refers to Powell no longer holding the position of Federal Reserve Chair in fact.
Announcements of Powell's resignation or dismissal do not alone meet the criteria.
The scheduled end of Powell's term does not alone meet the criteria.
If Powell continues to serve as acting Chair (e.g., until a successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have relinquished the Chair.
This market is limited to the period during which Powell serves as Federal Reserve Chair.
Powell's status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board does not affect the settlement of this market.
All dates are based on Eastern Time.
Odaily Seer channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.
(Source: ODAILY)
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • 2
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
RedGlass
· 1h ago
The terms are written so detailed, someone must have tried to cheat before.
View OriginalReply0
YieldYeti
· 1h ago
20% is the maximum but spread across seven ranges, so the market actually has no bottom.
View OriginalReply0
Orange-FlavoredBlock
· 3h ago
The end of the term doesn't count, so there must be some action before May 2026.
View OriginalReply0
GammaRunner
· 3h ago
The prediction market prices are determined by political games, not economic data.
View OriginalReply0
OldKeycapTrader
· 3h ago
Is simply firing not considered? Trump did think about this back then.
View OriginalReply0