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The gold market is showing a notable signal: while gold prices remain at record highs, net flows into global gold ETFs are clearly declining.
According to the latest report from Gold ETF flows by region, net inflows have weakened sharply and continuously across all three major regions: North America, Europe, and Asia.
Recently, two distinct "Net Flows Reduced" zones have emerged, one around mid-2025 and the current one.
This situation is quite accurately mirroring the mid-2025 period:
ETF flows decline first -> positioning becomes overcrowded -> gold enters a strong correction phase to reset positions and clean up the market.
If net flows in ETFs continue to decline or shift to a more pronounced outflow, there is a high probability that gold will experience a deeper correction (possibly 8–15%) to clean up weak positions and attract new capital at more attractive prices.
Inflows from central banks and long-term safe-haven demand will provide a solid foundation, turning any correction into simply an opportunity to buy back at better prices.