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#TrumpBacksCFTCAuthorityOverPredictionMarkets
Trump went public on Truth Social 8 hours ago backing the CFTC as the sole regulator of prediction markets.
What he said
“It is critically important that the CFTC’s exclusive authority over Prediction Markets is maintained, and that they will thrive”
Attacked state officials trying to regulate them: “We cannot have SCUM like Chris Christie, Letitia James, Tim Walz, and JB Pritzker setting the rules!”
Framed it as a competitiveness issue: “Other Countries are after this new form of Financial Market, and we want to remain at the top… It is a major Industry, and we must protect it”
Why this matters now
The fight: States like NY, IL, MN, AZ, CT have sued or issued cease-and-desist orders to Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto , Robinhood, arguing they’re offering unlicensed gambling.
The CFTC’s position: Chair Michael Selig says the CFTC has “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets as federally regulated designated contract markets. The agency has sued 5 states to block their crackdowns.
Trump’s role: He’s backing CFTC Chair Selig directly. This is his strongest public endorsement yet of prediction markets.
The bigger picture
Legal clash: It’s federal vs state jurisdiction. If the CFTC wins, prediction markets get a single federal rulebook instead of 50 state laws.
Industry growth: Trading on these platforms surged after the 2024 election. Polymarket and Kalshi are the main players.
Political angle: Trump also tied it to crypto, saying the US needs to stay the “Crypto Capital of the World”. Some critics note Donald Trump Jr. advises both Kalshi and Polymarket.
Status: The CFTC has active lawsuits against Minnesota, Illinois, New York, Arizona. Minnesota even passed a ban last week, and the CFTC sued to block it within 24 hours.
Want me to break down what this means for Kalshi and Polymarket users if the CFTC gets exclusive authority?
$BTC $GT $HYPE